Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +6 (72-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 40 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Bonner | 38 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| T. Hayes | 28 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Harris | 24 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Allen | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Carrington | 13 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Anigwe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 7 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 32 | 6-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| B. Turner | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 23 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Peddy | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Sutton | 15 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Onyenwere | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Sissoko | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter