Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.6% | 11.4% | -11.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -19 (78-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray | 34 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 34 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 31 | 9-14 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Jackie Young | 30 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Cayla George | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Samuelson | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Azurá Stevens | 31 | 10-18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 28 | 10-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 27 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Zia Cooke | 23 | 4-14 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -5 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Destanni Henderson | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Rae Burrell | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter