Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.9% | 22.1% | -6.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -1 (76-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale | 38 | 10-20 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 37 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Teaira McCowan | 34 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Satou Sabally | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Awak Kuier | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Maddy Siegrist | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexie Hull | 34 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 33 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 25 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 25 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Victoria Vivians | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Grace Berger | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kristy Wallace | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 8 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter