Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +18 (102-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 33 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 22 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 22 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 19 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Leigha Brown | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Liz Dixon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 29 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 29 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jackie Young | 28 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Candace Parker | 26 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 25 | 8-11 | 4-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Cayla George | 5 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter