Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +22 (85-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 32 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| A. Boston | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 26 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Hull | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| N. Smith | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Wallace | 20 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -3 | - |
| V. Vivians | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Cannon | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Q. Egbo | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Berger | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| V. Saxton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Turner | 33 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| M. Onyenwere | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 26 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| B. Griner | 26 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| S. Sutton | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Simms | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 15 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Sissoko | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Coates | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter