Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.9% | 30.1% | -4.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -9 (74-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 40 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 24 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 34 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 33 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 25 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 19 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | 36 | 7-20 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 34 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 31 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Azurá Stevens | 30 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 24 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Zia Cooke | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Destanni Henderson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter