Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.5% | 96.5% | +18.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +18 (89-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Turner | 34 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 32 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 31 | 9-15 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 29 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 19 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kadi Sissoko | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Evina Westbrook | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 32 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 11-13 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 36 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 31 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Johannes | 26 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 25 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 23 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| S. Dolson | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jocelyn Willoughby | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nyara Sabally | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter