Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier * | 38 | 9-13 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 31 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| D. Juhasz * | 29 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Bridget Carleton * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| N. Milic | 15 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordin Canada * | 40 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 33 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Dearica Hamby * | 30 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Zia Cooke * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Azurá Stevens * | 18 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 19 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter