Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -3 (82-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sug Sutton | 38 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 34 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 33 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 32 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 27 | - |
| B. Turner | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kadi Sissoko | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Evina Westbrook | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 36 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 35 | 11-19 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 23 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 32 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Kristy Wallace | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Queen Egbo | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Victoria Vivians | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Grace Berger | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 4 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter