Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.1% | 24.9% | -6.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +9 (70-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Shannon Jr. * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Coleman Hawkins * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| RJ Melendez * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| M. Mayer * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Skyy Clark * | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jayden Epps | 27 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Dainja | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Sencire Harris | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ty Rodgers | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Clark * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Kadin Shedrick * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| B. Vander Plas | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Isaac Mckneely | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Dunn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter