Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | +6.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +16 (88-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Toppin * | 36 | 7-18 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | - |
| CJ Fredrick Jr. * | 36 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Cason Wallace * | 35 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Oscar Tshiebwe * | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Sahvir Wheeler * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Antonio Reeves | 24 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Lance Ware | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Chris Livingston | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Daimion Collins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Strawther * | 40 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 7-7 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Anton Watson * | 38 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Drew Timme * | 36 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Rasir Bolton * | 31 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Nolan Hickman * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Malachi Smith | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Hunter Sallis | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ben Gregg | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Efton Reid | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter