Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.4% | 10.6% | -11.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners -17 (43-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Turner | 33 | 8-16 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| C. Gray | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| T. Sussman | 30 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Jones | 25 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Mazatlan Harris | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Sydney Burns | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tova Sabel | 15 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Megan Norris | 12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Nya Epps | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| V. Baker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Sanders | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Caldwell | 36 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| S. Johnson | 33 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Tougas | 32 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kayla Morris | 27 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 7-9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 28 | - |
| G. Freeman | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| G. Hunter | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Edwards | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| S. Herrera | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Ortiz | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Julia Riley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Bridges-Bey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter