Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | William & Mary Tribe | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.8% | 5.2% | -16.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: William & Mary Tribe -29 (54-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Valladay | 26 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| M. McLean | 25 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 33 | - |
| C. Taylor | 23 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Brunelle | 23 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Kaydan Lawson | 20 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| L. Clarkson | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Smith | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Miller | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Dale | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Y. Vaughn | 11 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Cady Pauley | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wagner | 32 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -5 | - |
| M. Magee | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| R. Casey | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| R. Frisby-Smith | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kayla Rolph | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Gilliam | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| B. Bellamy | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Mikeska | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Wingertzahn | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Brown | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter