Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +33.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +29 (78-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Saunders | 35 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jayda Johnston | 24 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| E. Tecca | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| I. Pitts | 23 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Dunson | 21 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Earnest | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| O. Sims | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| O. Brown | 14 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | - |
| A. Interrante | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ella Van Weelden | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Beyer | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Crompton | 33 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 7-9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| P. Robinson | 30 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Wilson | 28 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| M. Wong | 26 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| K. Bullman | 23 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Stinson | 19 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Wright-Gaskins | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| H. Kelle | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Abbie Aalsma | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Van Zeeland | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter