Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Missouri State Lady Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.5% | 30.5% | -4.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Lady Bears -10 (58-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilyn McGuff | 34 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 3-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Tessa Miller | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Wells | 27 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Madison Bartley | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| B. Schoenwald | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Kendal Cheesman | 22 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| S. Harvey | 21 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| N. Baird | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Kate Hollifield | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Highmark | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Lady Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Rocca | 40 | 6-18 | 2-7 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| A. Thomas | 40 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| S. Wilson | 36 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| J. Masogayo | 28 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kennedy Taylor | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Indya Green | 20 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Woodhouse | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter