Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -7 (63-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Knecht | 38 | 5-17 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Matt Johnson II | 37 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Riley Abercrombie | 30 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Theo Hughes | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Caleb Shaw | 17 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Brock Wisne | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Connor Creech | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atin Wright | 36 | 7-19 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| De'Sean Allen-Eikens | 36 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Dionte Bostick | 34 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Ethan Igbanugo | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| John Wade III | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Dearon Tucker | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Fidelis Okereke | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Onyi Eyisi | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marcel Stevens | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cam Slaymaker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter