Model Predictions
| Model | Duquesne Dukes | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | -3.1 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.0% | 36.0% | -3.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -8 (79-87). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tess Myers * | 39 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Amaya Hamilton * | 39 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Megan McConnell * | 39 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Precious Johnson * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Naelle Bernard * | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Lauren Wasylson | 31 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Ayanna Townsend | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Reilly Sunday | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Freeman * | 40 | 6-19 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Destiny Bohanon * | 38 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Mariah Perez * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Anyssa Jones * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Arianna Smith * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Nayo Lear | 23 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Taisiya Kozlova | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Eleanor Monyek | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter