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2023-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Saint Louis Billikens Duquesne Dukes Spread Result
Elo 65.5% 34.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Margin 45.5% 54.5% +1.0 โœ“ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 54.6% 45.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 54.7% 45.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“

Actual: Duquesne Dukes +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Louis Billikens

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kennedy Calhoun 38 2-8 1-2 1-1 2 4 1 0 3 6 2 -
J. Martinez 37 3-13 1-5 3-4 10 3 4 0 5 10 9 -
B. Flowers 32 4-10 0-0 2-2 12 1 0 4 1 10 16 -
K. McMakin 32 4-20 1-9 5-6 3 3 0 0 1 14 -1 -
Mia Nicastro 18 2-4 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 0 0 6 10 -
C. Clegg 13 2-8 2-7 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 6 -1 -
Peyton Kennedy 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 4 4 -
Bri Johns 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 2 0 3 3 -
S. Gul 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
Nafatoumata Haidara 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Megan McConnell 39 5-8 3-5 3-4 10 5 0 0 0 16 23 -
A. Hamilton 38 3-9 1-1 3-4 9 6 4 1 5 10 16 -
Tess Myers 36 4-11 3-7 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 13 5 -
P. Johnson 31 4-7 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 4 1 8 13 -
Naelle Bernard 30 3-11 0-8 2-3 0 1 0 1 3 8 -4 -
A. Townsend 12 4-10 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 1 2 8 1 -
L. Wasylson 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 6 -
Reilly Sunday 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter