Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bohanon | 37 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| S. Freeman | 37 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A. Smith | 35 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Perez | 34 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 3 | - |
| N. Lear | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Jones | 19 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Taisiya Kozlova | 17 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Calhoun | 38 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| B. Flowers | 37 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 23 | - |
| J. Martinez | 33 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| K. McMakin | 31 | 6-17 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 3 | - |
| M. Nicastro | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Clegg | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| P. Kennedy | 10 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| N. Haidara | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Johns | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter