Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes +1 (70-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bohanon | 35 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Anyssa Jones | 33 | 4-13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Sydney Freeman | 29 | 5-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Arianna Smith | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Taisiya Kozlova | 23 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Nayo Lear | 22 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Perez | 18 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Perry | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan McConnell | 39 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| A. Hamilton | 37 | 9-20 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Tess Myers | 36 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Naelle Bernard | 35 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| P. Johnson | 24 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| L. Wasylson | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Reilly Sunday | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter