Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | UC San Diego Tritons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC San Diego Tritons -17 (62-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Robinson | 36 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| M. Crompton | 34 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| K. Bullman | 30 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| M. Wong | 19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Wilson | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Abbie Aalsma | 16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. McGinnis-Taylor | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| H. Kelle | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Wright-Gaskins | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Stinson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Cohen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Brown | 31 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| M. Baxter | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| E. Cangelosi | 24 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B. Mullings | 22 | 5-11 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| G. Talbot | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| P. Montgomery | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| I. Forsyth | 17 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Macabuhay | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Springs | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Mahan | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Thompson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Louther | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter