Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +21.0 | ✓ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Redmond | 45 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| S. Ngulefac | 39 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| A. Tarpley | 38 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| M. Lee | 28 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Marchbanks | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Stephens | 21 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| K. Wheeler | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Heidger | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Rivera | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Cournoyer | 11 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Nelson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Snoddy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Ranke | 50 | 4-14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| L. Jewett | 44 | 11-19 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 22 | - |
| T. Gibson | 38 | 3-16 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| D. Thomas | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| M. Burns | 31 | 2-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| B. Hardy | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Godbolt | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| T. Abrams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter