Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.6% | 3.4% | -18.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates -19 (57-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tramon Mark * | 35 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Marcus Sasser * | 34 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Jarace Walker * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J'Wan Roberts * | 28 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Jamal Shead * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Emanuel Sharp | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ja'Vier Francis | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Chaney | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Darius Bowser | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Walker * | 40 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Johnson * | 38 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Ezra Ausar * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| RJ Felton * | 35 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Quentin Diboundje * | 29 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Benjamin Bayela | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ludgy Debaut | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dave Kasanganay | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Valentino Pinedo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter