Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +16 (86-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Walker * | 38 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Brandon Johnson * | 36 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 | - |
| RJ Felton * | 35 | 10-19 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Ezra Ausar * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Quentin Diboundje * | 26 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Benjamin Bayela | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ludgy Debaut | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kalib LaCount | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Valentino Pinedo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Saxby Sunderland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhuric Phelps * | 33 | 5-15 | 3-4 | 2-9 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Zach Nutall * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Efe Odigie * | 32 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Jalen Smith * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Samuell Williamson * | 29 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ricardo Wright | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Stefan Todorovic | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Emory Lanier | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mo Njie | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Darius McBride | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter