Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +16 (86-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Walker * | 38 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 24 | - |
| B. Johnson * | 36 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 | - |
| RJ Felton * | 35 | 10-19 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 14 | - |
| E. Ausar * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Q. Diboundje * | 26 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| B. Bayela | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Debaut | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. LaCount | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| V. Pinedo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Sunderland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Phelps * | 33 | 5-15 | 3-4 | 2-9 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| E. Odigie * | 32 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Z. Nutall * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Smith * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| S. Williamson * | 29 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| K. Ambrose-Hylton | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Wright | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Todorovic | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Lanier | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mo Njie | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. McBride | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter