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2023-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 22.6% 77.4% -
Bradley-Terry 42.0% 58.0% -
Margin 47.5% 52.5% +0.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 62.4% 37.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% -
Log Adjusted 43.1% 56.9% -

Actual: UCF Knights -2 (71-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Nolley II * 36 8-13 2-5 0-3 4 2 1 0 7 18 5 -
M. Adams-Woods * 36 4-8 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 10 -1 -
D. DeJulius * 33 5-11 0-0 6-6 5 8 1 0 2 16 17 -
O. Oguama * 26 7-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 0 1 15 13 -
K. Ezikpe * 21 4-6 0-0 4-4 6 1 0 0 1 12 12 -
J. Davenport 30 1-5 0-4 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
D. Skillings Jr. 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Reed 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hensley 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4684806 * 36 4-10 3-4 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 12 6 -
C.J. Kelly * 31 3-6 1-4 4-4 4 3 3 0 3 11 12 -
Player #4397401 * 30 5-12 1-6 1-2 2 3 2 0 0 12 7 -
D. Johnson * 29 3-7 2-5 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 8 3 -
B. Suggs 19 1-3 0-0 4-6 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
J. Young 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
PJ Edwards 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
L. Thioune 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter