Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +1 (64-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson * | 38 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 37 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Kelly * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ithiel Horton * | 32 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Lahat Thioune * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jayhlon Young | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Suggs | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Tyem Freeman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| PJ Edwards | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Thierno Sylla | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah McCadden * | 37 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Deandre Williams * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Keonte Kennedy * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Kendric Davis * | 14 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Kaodirichi Akobundu-Ehiogu * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jayden Hardaway | 25 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chandler Lawson | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Johnathan Lawson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter