Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Kelly * | 38 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 35 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Darius Johnson * | 35 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Ithiel Horton * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Lahat Thioune * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tyem Freeman | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jayhlon Young | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| PJ Edwards | 11 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Thierno Sylla | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landers Nolley II * | 36 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Viktor Lakhin * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 22 | - |
| David Dejulius * | 34 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Mika Adams-Woods * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Ody Oguama * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jeremiah Davenport | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Rob Phinisee | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Skillings Jr. | 7 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kalu Ezikpe | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter