Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.6% | 16.4% | -9.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -11 (71-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shead * | 36 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| J. Walker * | 35 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| J. Roberts * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Mark * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| M. Sasser * | 25 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| E. Sharp | 23 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| T. Arceneaux | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Francis | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Horton * | 34 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Ta. Hendricks * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| D. Johnson * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| C.J. Kelly * | 32 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| L. Thioune * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Suggs | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Young | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T. Freeman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter