Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | -11.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.5% | 19.5% | -7.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -11 (71-82). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Shead * | 36 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Jarace Walker * | 35 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| J'Wan Roberts * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Tramon Mark * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Sasser * | 25 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Emanuel Sharp | 23 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ja'Vier Francis | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ithiel Horton * | 34 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Darius Johnson * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| C.J. Kelly * | 32 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Lahat Thioune * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Suggs | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jay Young | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tyem Freeman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter