Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +3 (107-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendric Davis * | 47 | 10-23 | 1-7 | 21-23 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 26 | - |
| Elijah McCadden * | 37 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Deandre Williams * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Alex Lomax * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Chandler Lawson * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Keonte Kennedy | 28 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Kaodirichi Akobundu-Ehiogu | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Johnathan Lawson | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Suggs * | 48 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Ithiel Horton * | 45 | 8-18 | 5-10 | 9-9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 14 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 36 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jayhlon Young * | 23 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Lahat Thioune * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Kelly | 37 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 12-13 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Tyem Freeman | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| PJ Edwards | 11 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Thierno Sylla | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter