Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +3 (107-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Davis * | 47 | 10-23 | 1-7 | 21-23 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 26 | - |
| E. McCadden * | 37 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| D. Williams * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Lomax * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| C. Lawson * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Kennedy | 28 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| K. Akobundu-Ehiogu | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Lawson | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Suggs * | 48 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Player #4397401 * | 45 | 8-18 | 5-10 | 9-9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 14 | - |
| Player #4684806 * | 36 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Young * | 23 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Thioune * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Kelly | 37 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 12-13 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 24 | - |
| T. Freeman | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| PJ Edwards | 11 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| T. Sylla | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter