Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.8 | ✓ (27.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +32 (85-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Efe Odigie * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Zach Nutall * | 28 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Samuell Williamson * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton * | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Smith * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Ricardo Wright | 23 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Jefferson Koulibaly | 19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Stefan Todorovic | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Darius McBride | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Franklin Agunanne | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Xavier Foster | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mo Njie | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jackson Young | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trey Utter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayhlon Young * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 29 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| C.J. Kelly * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ithiel Horton * | 27 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Suggs | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tyem Freeman | 17 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Lahat Thioune | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Thierno Sylla | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| PJ Edwards | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Poohpha Warakulnukroh | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter