Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.6% | 95.4% | +16.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +34 (87-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhuric Phelps * | 25 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Jalen Smith * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Zach Nutall * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Samuell Williamson * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Efe Odigie * | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Emory Lanier | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ricardo Wright | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Stefan Todorovic | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jefferson Koulibaly | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mo Njie | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Darius McBride | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Foster | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Sasser * | 26 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Shead * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jarace Walker * | 25 | 10-16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Tramon Mark * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J'Wan Roberts * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Emanuel Sharp | 24 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ja'Vier Francis | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 19 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Chaney | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Darius Bowser | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter