Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.6% | 44.4% | -3.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.3% | 19.7% | -7.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates -3 (61-64). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ithiel Horton * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C.J. Kelly * | 33 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 8-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Darius Johnson * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Suggs | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jay Young | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Lahat Thioune | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Thierno Sylla | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wynston Tabbs | 22 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| RJ Felton * | 37 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Johnson * | 29 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Ezra Ausar * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Kalib LaCount * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Javon Small | 31 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jaden Walker | 31 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ludgy Debaut | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Valentino Pinedo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter