Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.6 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson | 38 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 16 | - |
| C.J. Kelly | 38 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Taylor Hendricks | 37 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Ithiel Horton | 35 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Suggs | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jayhlon Young | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Lahat Thioune | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Thierno Sylla | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Sasser | 39 | 7-20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 38 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Tramon Mark | 35 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| J'Wan Roberts | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Ja'Vier Francis | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 18 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Reggie Chaney | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Emanuel Sharp | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter