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2022-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 13.2% 86.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 29.4% 70.6% - ✓
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 ✓ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.4% 61.6% - ✓
Efficiency 48.1% 51.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 21.0% 79.0% - ✓

Actual: UCF Knights +7 (52-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Walton 35 1-7 0-4 3-4 8 1 0 0 4 5 3 -
K. Pohto 29 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 3 2 0 0 3 6 -
J. Pierre Jr. 27 2-9 2-5 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 7 0 -
M. Flanagan 21 3-4 2-3 3-3 1 2 1 0 0 11 11 -
J. Rojas 20 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
Shammah Scott 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Xavier Bell 18 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 4 5 -1 -
G. Okafor 14 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
I. Poor Bear-Chandler 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Isaac Abidde 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taylor Hendricks 38 4-11 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 2 0 9 7 -
Darius Johnson 38 4-10 1-5 6-6 5 2 4 0 3 15 13 -
C.J. Kelly 25 3-10 1-4 1-2 7 0 2 2 1 8 8 -
Ithiel Horton 25 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 1 -
Brandon Suggs 16 4-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
Jayhlon Young 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 2 3 -
Lahat Thioune 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Thierno Sylla 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter