Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | -1.2 | ✗ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks +16 (68-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fields * | 40 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| A. Jeanne-Rose * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| TJ Long * | 27 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| S. Cook * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Makai Willis * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Brycen Goodine | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. Wojcik | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. Johns Jr. | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Maidoh | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Z. Crisler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hunt * | 36 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Rahmir Moore * | 35 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Brown * | 31 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Javier Ezquerra * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Keyontae Lewis * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Price-Noel | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Taylor II | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Fletcher | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Julian Brown | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter