Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Jaguars | Alabama State Lady Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 94.3% | 5.7% | -15.4 | ✗ (20.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama State Lady Hornets +5 (48-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mcwain | 35 | 1-12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| G. Johnson | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-9 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Hunter | 27 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Fleming | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. White | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Metcalf | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| X. Harrison | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| T. Williams | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Reed | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Legions | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Alabama State Lady Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Emmanuel | 35 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 11-13 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 20 | - |
| S. Steele | 32 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Sanders | 29 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Crawford | 29 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Ward | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| R. Tillis | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Harris | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Watkins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Gray | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Brooks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| K. Jackson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter