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2023-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 9.0% 91.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.3% 85.7% - โœ“
Margin 13.7% 86.3% +10.1 โœ“ (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 14.3% 85.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.7% 85.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 15.1% 84.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“

Actual: Alcorn State Braves +16 (92-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Range * 35 3-9 2-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 10 3 -
TJ Madlock * 32 2-7 0-2 6-6 2 4 0 0 2 10 7 -
Roland McCoy * 27 4-9 4-6 0-0 2 0 3 0 3 12 5 -
Duane Posey * 23 1-3 0-0 8-10 4 0 0 2 0 10 13 -
Jordan O'Neal * 20 2-3 0-0 5-6 5 0 0 0 1 9 10 -
Alex Anderson 32 3-4 0-0 7-7 6 5 1 0 6 13 15 -
Eric Coleman Jr. 12 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
Kendal Parker 11 0-2 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
Christian McCray 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 3 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keondre Montgomery * 35 8-15 5-10 2-2 8 1 0 0 2 23 15 -
Byron Joshua * 33 5-14 3-5 4-5 3 6 2 1 1 17 14 -
Dekedran Thorn * 19 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
Trevin Wade * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ladarius Marshall * 12 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
Dontrell McQuarter 24 1-6 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Jeremiah Kendall 24 8-11 0-0 3-8 8 0 3 0 3 19 16 -
DJ Brewton 22 5-12 0-0 8-9 6 1 2 0 2 18 13 -
Devin Carter 7 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Mike Pajeaud 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Shaun Walker 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter