Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | North Alabama Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Alabama Lions +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Range | 38 | 10-15 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 15 | - |
| TJ Madlock | 35 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jordan O'Neal | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Alex Anderson | 26 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Eric Coleman Jr. | 23 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Roland McCoy | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Amarr Knox | 16 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Duane Posey | 9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Darrell Reed | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Alabama Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Forrest | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Daniel Ortiz | 33 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| KJ Johnson | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Will Soucie | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Dallas Howell | 25 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jacari Lane | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Braster | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Detalian Brown | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bryson Dawkins | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Deraje Agbaosi | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter