Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.1% | 94.9% | +16.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks +30 (81-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raequan Battle | 31 | 8-17 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 3 | - |
| Caleb Fuller | 27 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Darius Brown II | 24 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Patterson | 21 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Great Osobor | 20 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Sam Lecholat | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Robert Ford III | 18 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Patrick McMahon | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jubrile Belo | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Nick Gazelas | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jed Miller | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alex Germer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luca Colceag | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Guerrier | 31 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| W. Richardson | 28 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Keeshawn Barthelemy | 27 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Nate Bittle | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Ware | 25 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| R. Soares | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| N. Dante | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Gabe Reichle | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Williams | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Parris | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| James Cooper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter