Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +19 (72-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Coleman * | 38 | 3-15 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Kenny Strawbridge * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Gage Bobe * | 35 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Preston Phillips * | 33 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Yacine Toumi * | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Chris Moncrief | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Gabe Spinelli | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Burford * | 37 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Seneca Knight * | 33 | 9-17 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alex Kotov * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Colton Sandage * | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter | 31 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kendall Lewis | 30 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Luke Kasubke | 22 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Liam McChesney | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jayden Johnson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Malcolm Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter