Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.6 | ✓ (20.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +31 (82-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Burford * | 34 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Seneca Knight * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Luke Kasubke | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Liam McChesney | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jayden Johnson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nik Stadelman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joe Petrakis | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Malcolm Miller | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Wilkins * | 34 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Roman Penn * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Tucker DeVries * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Garrett Sturtz * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Darnell Brodie * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Nate Ferguson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Sardaar Calhoun | 20 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Conor Enright | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Okay Djamgouz | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Eric Northweather | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Bryceson Burns | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter