Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +15 (84-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaCobi Wood * | 37 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Rob Perry * | 36 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Brian Moore Jr. * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jamari Smith * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| DJ Burns * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kenny White Jr. | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Quincy Anderson | 18 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Justin Morgan | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sam Murray II | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alston Mason * | 37 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Donovan Clay * | 33 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Kendle Moore * | 31 | 5-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo * | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Damien Mayo Jr. * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N.J. Benson | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Chance Moore | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| James Graham III | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Dalen Ridgnal | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Raphe Ayres | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter