Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.9% | 39.1% | -2.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -2 (48-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.