Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.8% | 82.2% | +8.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +16 (80-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kasubke * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Darius Burford * | 28 | 10-17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Seneca Knight | 24 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jayden Johnson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Petrakis | 11 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Alex Kotov | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nik Stadelman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malcolm Miller | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Alston Andrews | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Neese * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Julian Larry * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Courvoisier McCauley * | 27 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Robbie Avila * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Henry * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Trenton Gibson | 26 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Jayson Kent | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Xavier Bledson | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Cade McKnight | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kailex Stephens | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rob Martin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Masen Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zach Hobbs | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter