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2023-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 71.7% 28.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% - ✗
Margin 44.4% 55.6% +1.2 ✗ (2.2 off)
Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% - ✗

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -1 (75-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rob Perry * 40 9-16 6-10 1-2 6 2 1 0 3 25 15 -
JaCobi Wood * 40 2-4 0-0 4-4 3 11 2 0 2 8 18 -
Jamari Smith * 26 5-14 0-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 11 0 -
DJ Burns * 21 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 1 2 -
Brian Moore Jr. * 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Quincy Anderson 33 6-7 2-3 1-1 4 0 3 0 0 15 15 -
Kenny White Jr. 26 7-10 1-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 16 8 -
Justin Morgan 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Seneca Knight * 39 7-11 4-6 4-4 8 1 0 0 1 22 19 -
Darius Burford * 38 8-14 1-4 1-2 3 6 0 1 3 18 11 -
Kendall Lewis * 37 7-11 1-3 5-5 9 3 3 0 3 20 21 -
Malachi Poindexter * 34 2-7 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 1 2 5 4 -
Luke Kasubke * 27 2-6 1-4 1-2 1 1 1 2 1 6 4 -
Joe Petrakis 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Harouna Sissoko 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
Jayden Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Malcolm Miller 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nik Stadelman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter