Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.8% | 37.2% | -2.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +5 (81-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seneca Knight * | 36 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter * | 34 | 6-13 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Darius Burford * | 32 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luke Kasubke | 29 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Liam McChesney | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jayden Johnson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Krikke * | 35 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Kolby King * | 33 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Q. Green * | 29 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 24 | - |
| N. Edwards * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Maximus Nelson * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Barrett | 25 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Darius Deaveiro | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| I. Bayu | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jerome Palm | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Hedstrom | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter