Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.0% | 12.0% | -11.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -18 (65-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Larry * | 37 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| C. Neese * | 37 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| C. McCauley * | 37 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| C. Henry * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| R. Avila * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| X. Bledson | 20 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Z. Hobbs | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Stephens | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. McKnight | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Gibson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Kent | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Coleman II * | 40 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| G. Bobe * | 38 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Smith Jr. * | 33 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Y. Toumi * | 27 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| K. Strawbridge Jr. * | 23 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| C. Moncrief | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Spinelli | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| P. Phillips | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter