Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +6 (72-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Domask * | 39 | 13-25 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 16 | - |
| Xavier Johnson * | 30 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Lance Jones * | 29 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Jawaun Newton * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Clarence Rupert * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Troy D'Amico | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J.D. Muila | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - |
| Trent Brown | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Dalton Banks | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Scottie Ebube | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Lewis * | 40 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Seneca Knight * | 38 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 9-10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Luke Kasubke * | 36 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter * | 36 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -5 | - |
| Liam McChesney * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Alex Kotov | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Colton Sandage | 13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter